There are two disparate approaches when it comes to this very polarizing discussion and decisions are always fraught with significant political risk.


Group 1 – The Traditional Approach

Firstly, the traditionalists. These departments are typically led by an investment-fund-style manager who will outsource the majority of the departmental function to a selection of agencies all attempting to work together toward a common goal.

Defining exactly what this specific goal is, will vary considerably between businesses. Some teams will focus on ‘conversions’, others will prefer a focus on easily achievable vanity metrics or the perennial ‘brand [something]’.

Media choices will heavily favour advertising, perhaps accompanied by a few topical buzzword initiatives. Each 12 month cycle will be precipitated by a creative ‘big idea’. Agency firings and ‘re-brands’ will shortly follow announcements of poor sales performance as will the default rebuttal statement that, “there was increased brand awareness”.

When probed, the relationship between the main goal and sales revenue is rarely proven nor tested to any great degree.

The team culture will be either gut-led or opinion-driven where personal veto powers will rein supreme during a highly political decision-making process.

Phrases uttered during internal discussions typically include: reach, brand awareness, engagement, customer experience, touch-points, downloads, impressions, clicks, share of voice and many other iterations of the word ‘brand’.

This group, I’d estimate to cover the vast majority of marketing departments around the world.

Group 2 – The Datarati

In the second group lies a much smaller, but growing collection of professionals who are taking advantage of new technology and more-often than not, more consistent in their growth trajectory.

They will prefer to control critical and resource-intensive tasks in-house, not just to conserve resources but also to improve agility. Select functions will be outsourced to agencies only when necessary – not by default. Some organizations will in fact, control all tasks in-house and senior staff will share a collective disdain for agencies of any type.

It’s not unusual for creative production, digital media buying and measurement to be completely the domain of internal teams. The general work approach will favour scientific data-led testing over any one person’s opinion, and a continuous improvement cycle culture will dominate.

The media approach will be agnostic, mixing both organic and paid media, partnerships, affiliate/referral programs, sales promotions and more, into a holistic growth strategy that will change quickly if necessary. When probed, the team will be scientifically able to prove contributions to sales revenue and the correlation between different performance metrics.

Phrases commonly uttered during internal discussions will include: northstar, customer database, audiences, conversions, sales-funnel, lead-scoring, split testing variables, SQLs, MQLs, CAC, LTV, CLTV etc.

From experience, the main forces preventing Group 1 from becoming Group 2 are fourfold:

  • Nous
  • Politics
  • Ingrained cultures
  • Shortage of skilled professionals

Complicating Factors

Measuring the contribution of marketing to sales revenue is not always easy – especially when there is a mix of offline and online influence and your offering has a service component.

On one hand it’s too easy for The Datarati to be dismissive of traditional media and frequently exhibit a strong prejudice toward digital mediums. While digital is inherently easier to measure, the value of offline touch-points should not be ignored. Trust and brand credibility are traditional media’s strength. Too often I find the Datarati view rife in the SaaS tech and Direct to Consumer (DTC) industries, but their views are less valid in other industries.

Offline media, including ‘archaic’ mediums such as the radio, can have a powerful effect on the overall purchase decision – especially with higher consideration offerings.

Recent personal experience selling million dollar paintings at auction has only further exposed the limited nature of digital’s effectiveness in this specific product case.

For example, direct mail brochures can be cheaper and more effective than Google Ads when targeting younger demographic segments as this audience rarely receive physical mail!

Longitudinal Views

Marketers should realize that the yield of different channels is fluid and not fixed.

What’s old often becomes new again, making it shortsighted to treat leanings from books such as ‘hacking growth’, ‘the lean startup’ or ‘traction’ as marketing gospel without first performing your own tests in a modern context. A lot can change in the digital space within the space of months, let alone years.

On the other hand, it’s all too convenient for The Traditionalists to rest on their laurels and continue with:

  • what is familiar
  • what used to work and,
  • what they believe to still work
  • trusting the distorted commission-led traditional media-buying market

Just because something is difficult to measure, doesn’t mean it shouldn’t be measured. After all, “what can’t be measured can’t be managed”.

Outsourcing work to external vendors is also a very convenient way to limit any blame, but the negative effects can also severely hamper team morale and skill transfer. Who wants to be a glorified ‘agency coordinator’ when their peers are uncovering valuable marketing insights which will future-proof their careers.

Which one are you?

This burgeoning field of ‘marketing attribution’ or ‘attribution modeling’ is the holy grail of any marketing department and a field which I receive frequent requests for my expertise.

However, the answer to your attribution woes is often complex and varies significantly between organizations.

Custom attribution models are frequently the preference of the larger organizations. They are validated over time as the model constantly tested and validated by live feedback data. However, this approach is expensive to initiate and maintain over time.

Smaller firms will preference a mix-mash of digital dashboards, base much of their decisions via analysis courtesy of various click attribution models and they will often struggle to combine their online-online contributions. Attribution software tools are often poorly implemented, misinterpreted or myopic in their scope.

Choose your metrics and data approach wisely

From recent experience there still seems to be much variation between the metrics used between businesses, even those within the same sector.

IMO – attribution experts must be highly skilled in three areas…

  1. A deep knowledge of the performance metrics related to each medium which extends beyond vanity metrics.
  2. A discerning ability to critique the accuracy of performance data, and…
  3. An understanding in customer purchase behaviour psychology

Without these three critical areas, conclusions can be very easily misguided and the any subsequent attribution models flawed.

A common misstep by both groups is an over-reliance on descriptive data vs predictive or prescriptive data.

Which of the two groups above best describes your department and how do you attack the attribution questions from your CEO or CFO?

Tell me your thoughts below or reach out for a discussion specific to your situation.


John has been working in the advertising, marketing and sales industry for over 12 years. His work has been diverse ranging from large brand awareness campaigns for global brand like P&G and Sothebys, has been combined with growth-focused, lean SME’s campaigns. His core specialties revolve around marketing strategy development and branding, but is most sought after for an ability to influence users online and generate valuable behavioural responses. He spends most of his time in Melbourne, Australia and California, USA. Most recently he has returned from a Growth Manager role in Silicon Valley.


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